Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is a major air pollutant with serious environmental and human health impacts. A random forest model was developed to estimate ground-level NO2 concentrations in China at a monthly time scale based on ground-level observed NO2 concentrations, tropospheric NO2 column concentration data from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), and meteorological covariates (the MAE, RMSE, and R2 of the model were 4.16 µg/m3, 5.79 µg/m3, and 0.79, respectively, and the MAE, RMSE, and R2 of the cross-validation were 4.3 µg/m3, 5.82 µg/m3, and 0.77, respectively). On this basis, this article analyzed the spatial and temporal variation in NO2 population exposure in China from 2005 to 2020, which effectively filled the gap in the long-term NO2 population exposure assessment in China. NO2 population exposure over China has significant spatial aggregation, with high values mainly distributed in large urban clusters in the north, east, south, and provincial capitals in the west. The NO2 population exposure in China shows a continuous increasing trend before 2012 and a continuous decreasing trend after 2012. The change in NO2 population exposure in western and southern cities is more influenced by population density compared to northern cities. NO2 pollution in China has substantially improved from 2013 to 2020, but Urumqi, Lanzhou, and Chengdu still maintain high NO2 population exposure. In these cities, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) could reduce NO2 population exposure through more monitoring instruments and limiting factory emissions.
Keywords: Ground-level NO2 concentration; Long-term NO2 population exposure assessment; Random forest model; Spatial and temporal variation; Trend analysis.
© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.