Purpose: Cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors have emerged as effective treatments for patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) advanced/metastatic breast cancer (mBC). Dedicated research efforts have been undertaken to find predictive biomarkers of response or resistance to these therapies although no molecular biomarkers for mBC have reached the clinic so far. This review aims to summarize and evaluate the performance of biomarkers in predicting progression-free survival in phase II and III clinical trials of CDK4/6 inhibitors in HR+/HER2- mBC.
Methods: For this narrative review, a structured literature search of PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane library (CENTRAL) was performed. Phase II or III clinical trials of a CDK4/6 inhibitor in patients with HR+/HER2- mBC reporting on at least one molecular biomarker analysis of progression-free survival were included. Publications and selected conference abstracts were included up until November 2021.
Results: Twenty-two articles reporting biomarker results of 12 clinical trials were included. Retinoblastoma protein status and cyclin E1 mRNA expression were promising baseline biomarkers, whereas PIK3CA circulating tumor DNA ratio on treatment relative to baseline, change in plasma thymidine kinase activity, and circulating tumor cell count were potential dynamic biomarkers of response. A number of biomarkers were unsuccessful, despite a strong mechanistic rationale, and others are still being explored.
Conclusion: Our review of clinical trials showed that there are a number of promising biomarkers at baseline and several dynamic biomarkers that might predict response to CDK4/6 inhibitors. Validation of these findings and assessment of clinical utility are crucial to make the final translation to clinical practice. Better understanding of disease heterogeneity and further elucidation of resistance mechanisms could inform future studies of rationally selected biomarkers.