Prognostic value of glycemic gap in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

Eur J Neurol. 2022 Sep;29(9):2725-2733. doi: 10.1111/ene.15432. Epub 2022 Jun 23.

Abstract

Background and purpose: Glycemic gap (GG), as a novel biomarker showing the acute glycemic change after the onset of acute illness, has been found to be associated with adverse outcomes in many diseases. This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of GG on long-term outcomes of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH).

Methods: The current study included 528 patients from a multicenter, prospective, consecutive, observational cohort study. Poor clinical outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale ≥ 3. GG was calculated using admission blood glucose minus hemoglobin A1c-derived average blood glucose. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the association between GG and poor clinical outcomes at 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year.

Results: Glycemic gap was significantly associated with poor clinical outcomes at 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year (p < 0.05 for all models), where patients with higher GG were more likely to have poor clinical outcome. Restricted cubic splines revealed a positive association between GG and poor clinical outcome. In addition, patients with higher GG were more likely to have a higher 1-year mortality rate. The addition of GG to the intracerebral hemorrhage score improved the discrimination and calibration properties for the prediction of poor clinical outcome.

Conclusions: Glycemic gap was independently associated with poor outcomes and may be a valuable prognostic factor in patients with sICH.

Keywords: glycemic gap; intracerebral hemorrhage; outcome; predictive value.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Blood Glucose*
  • Cerebral Hemorrhage / complications
  • Glycated Hemoglobin
  • Humans
  • Hyperglycemia*
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Glycated Hemoglobin A