Clinical parameters combined with radiomics features of PET/CT can predict recurrence in patients with high-risk pediatric neuroblastoma

Abstract

Background: This retrospective study aimed to develop and validate a combined model based [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT radiomics and clinical parameters for predicting recurrence in high-risk pediatric neuroblastoma patients.

Methods: Eighty-four high-risk neuroblastoma patients were retrospectively enrolled and divided into training and test sets according to the ratio of 3:2. [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT images of the tumor were segmented by 3D Slicer software and the radiomics features were extracted. The effective features were selected by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator to construct the radiomics score (Rad_score). And the radiomics model (R_model) was constructed based on Rad_score for prediction of recurrence. Then, univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen out the independent clinical risk parameters and construct the clinical model (C_model). A combined model (RC_model) was developed based on the Rad_score and independent clinical risk parameters and presented as radiomics nomogram. The performance of the above three models was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: Seven radiomics features were selected for building the R_model. The AUCs of the C_model in training and test sets were 0.744 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.595-0.874) and 0.750 (95% CI, 0.577-0.904), respectively. The R_model yielded AUCs of 0.813 (95% CI, 0.685-0.916) and 0.869 (95% CI, 0.715-0.985) in the training and test sets, respectively. The RC_model demonstrated the largest AUCs of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.794-0.963) and 0.892 (95% CI, 0.758-0.992) in the training and test sets, respectively. DCA demonstrated that RC_model added more net benefits than either the C_model or the R_model for predicting recurrence in high-risk pediatric neuroblastoma.

Conclusions: The combined model performed well for predicting recurrence in high-risk pediatric neuroblastoma, which can facilitate disease follow-up and management in clinical practice.

Keywords: Neuroblastoma; PET/CT; Radiomics; Recurrence; [18F]FDG.