Allostatic load as predictor of mortality: a cohort study from Lolland-Falster, Denmark

BMJ Open. 2022 May 27;12(5):e057136. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-057136.

Abstract

Objectives: The purposes of the present study were to determine the association between (1) 10 individual biomarkers and all-cause mortality; and between (2) allostatic load (AL), across three physiological systems (cardiovascular, inflammatory, metabolic) and all-cause mortality.

Design: Prospective cohort study.

Setting: We used data from the Lolland-Falster Health Study undertaken in Denmark in 2016-2020 and used data on systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), pulse rate (PR), waist-hip ratio (WHR) and levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), triglycerides, glycated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum albumin. All biomarkers were divided into quartiles with high-risk values defined as those in the highest (PR, WHR, triglycerides, HbA1c, CRP) or lowest (HDL-c, albumin) quartile, or a combination hereof (LDL-c, SBP, DBP). The 10 biomarkers were combined into a summary measure of AL index. Participants were followed-up for death for an average of 2.6 years.

Participants: We examined a total of 13 725 individuals aged 18+ years.

Primary outcome measure: Cox proportional hazard regression (HR) analysis were performed to examine the association between AL index and mortality in men and women.

Results: All-cause mortality increased with increasing AL index. With low AL index as reference, the HR was 1.33 (95% CI: 0.89 to 1.98) for mid AL, and HR 2.37 (95% CI: 1.58 to 3.54) for high AL.

Conclusions: Elevated physiological burden measured by mid and high AL index was associated with a steeper increase of mortality than individual biomarkers.

Keywords: Allostatic Load; Biomarker; Blood; LOFUS; Mortality; population-based.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Allostasis* / physiology
  • Biomarkers
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • Cholesterol, HDL
  • Cholesterol, LDL
  • Cohort Studies
  • Denmark / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Glycated Hemoglobin / analysis
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Prospective Studies
  • Triglycerides

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Cholesterol, HDL
  • Cholesterol, LDL
  • Glycated Hemoglobin A
  • Triglycerides
  • C-Reactive Protein