Challenges and Opportunities for Developing More Generalizable Polygenic Risk Scores

Annu Rev Biomed Data Sci. 2022 Aug 10:5:293-320. doi: 10.1146/annurev-biodatasci-111721-074830. Epub 2022 May 16.

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) estimate an individual's genetic likelihood of complex traits and diseases by aggregating information across multiple genetic variants identified from genome-wide association studies. PRS can predict a broad spectrum of diseases and have therefore been widely used in research settings. Some work has investigated their potential applications as biomarkers in preventative medicine, but significant work is still needed to definitively establish and communicate absolute risk to patients for genetic and modifiable risk factors across demographic groups. However, the biggest limitation of PRS currently is that they show poor generalizability across diverse ancestries and cohorts. Major efforts are underway through methodological development and data generation initiatives to improve their generalizability. This review aims to comprehensively discuss current progress on the development of PRS, the factors that affect their generalizability, and promising areas for improving their accuracy, portability, and implementation.

Keywords: PRS generalizability; clinical translation of PRS; diverse ancestry populations; genetic risk prediction; polygenic risk scores (PRS).

Publication types

  • Review
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers
  • Genetic Predisposition to Disease* / genetics
  • Genome-Wide Association Study*
  • Humans
  • Multifactorial Inheritance / genetics
  • Risk Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers