Study on Restart Safety of Waxy Crude Pipelines Based on Reliability Principle under Constant Flow

ACS Omega. 2022 Mar 15;7(12):10687-10694. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.2c00400. eCollection 2022 Mar 29.

Abstract

The restart process of waxy crude pipelines is an unsteady thermo-hydraulic coupling process, which mainly includes two modes of the constant flow and constant pressure in industry. However, some parameters involved in the restart process have obvious uncertainties, such as the operating parameters, physical parameters of crude oil, environmental parameters, and pipeline parameters, resulting in the traditional deterministic method that cannot scientifically describe the safety of the pipeline restart process. To do this, this study introduces the reliability-based limit state method and interference principle into the safety evaluation of waxy crude pipelines during the restart process. Considering the random fluctuation characteristics of the mentioned parameters, the restart physical process, the flow and heat transfer mathematical model, and the restart failure limit state function were established. On this basis, the failure probability during the restart process for one waxy crude pipeline under constant flow was determined. This research has realized the quantitative evaluation of restart safety of waxy crude pipelines.