The Effectiveness of Predicting Suicidal Ideation through Depressive Symptoms and Social Isolation Using Machine Learning Techniques

J Pers Med. 2022 Mar 22;12(4):516. doi: 10.3390/jpm12040516.

Abstract

(1) Background: Social isolation is a major risk factor for suicidal ideation. In this study, we investigated whether the evaluation of both depression and social isolation in combination could effectively predict suicidal ideation; (2) Methods: A total of 7994 data collected from community residents were analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed using age, the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and the Lubben Social Network Scale as predictors as the dependent variables for suicidal ideation; machine learning (ML) methods K-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and Neural Network Classification were used; (3) Results: The prediction of suicidal ideation using depression and social isolation showed high area under the curve (0.643-0.836) and specificity (0.959-0.987) in all ML techniques. In the predictor model (model 2) that additionally evaluated social isolation, the validation accuracy consistently increased compared to the depression-only model (model 1); (4) Conclusions: It is confirmed that the machine learning technique using depression and social isolation can be an effective method when predicting suicidal ideation.

Keywords: depression; machine learning methods; social isolation; suicidal ideation.