New imaging score for outcome prediction in basilar artery occlusion stroke

Abstract

Objective: In ischemic posterior circulation stroke, the utilization of standardized image scores is not established in daily clinical practice. We aimed to test a novel imaging score that combines the collateral status with the rating of the posterior circulation Acute Stroke Prognosis Early CT score (pcASPECTS). We hypothesized that this score (pcASCO) predicts functional outcome and malignant cerebellar edema (MCE).

Methods: Ischemic stroke patients with acute BAO who received multimodal-CT and underwent thrombectomy on admission at two comprehensive stroke centers were analyzed. The posterior circulation collateral score by van der Hoeven et al was added to the pcASPECTS to define pcASCO as a 20-point score. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to predict functional independence at day 90, assessed using modified Rankin Scale scores, and occurrence of MCE in follow-up CT using the established Jauss scale score as endpoints.

Results: A total of 118 patients were included, of which 84 (71%) underwent successful thrombectomy. Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, pcASCO ≥ 14 classified functional independence with higher discriminative power (AUC: 0.83, 95%CI: 0.71-0.91) than pcASPECTS (AUC: 0.74). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, pcASCO was significantly and independently associated with functional independence (aOR: 1.91, 95%CI: 1.25-2.92, p = 0.003), and MCE (aOR: 0.71, 95%CI: 0.53-0.95, p = 0.02).

Conclusion: The pcASCO could serve as a simple and feasible imaging tool to assess BAO stroke patients on admission and might be tested as a complementary tool to select patients for thrombectomy in uncertain situations, or to predict clinical outcome.

Key points: • The neurological assessment of basilar artery occlusion stroke patients can be challenging and there are yet no validated imaging scores established in daily clinical practice. • The pcASCO combines the rating of early ischemic changes with the status of the intracranial posterior circulation collaterals. • The pcASCO showed high diagnostic accuracy to predict functional outcome and malignant cerebellar edema and could serve as a simple and feasible imaging tool to support treatment selection in uncertain situations, or to predict clinical outcome.

Keywords: Computed tomography; Imaging; Ischemia; Stroke; Thrombectomy.