Predictors of needle-knife pre-cut papillotomy (NKP) failure for patients with difficult biliary cannulation has not been reported. Between 2004 and 2016, 390 patients with difficult biliary cannulation undergoing NKP were included in this single-center study. Following NKP, deep biliary cannulation failed in 95 patients (24.4%, NKP-failure group) and succeeded in 295 patients (75.6%, NKP-success group). Patient and technique factors were used to identify the predictors of initial NKP failure. Compared with the NKP-success group, periampullary diverticulum (28.4% vs. 18%, p = 0.028), surgically altered anatomy (13.7% vs. 7.1%, p = 0.049), number of cases performed by less experienced endoscopists, and bleeding during NKP (38.9% vs. 3.4%, p < 0.001), were significantly more frequent in the NKP-failure group. On multivariate analysis, surgically altered anatomy (OR 2.374, p = 0.045), endoscopists' experience (OR 3.593, p = 0.001), and bleeding during NKP (OR 21.18, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with initial failure of NKP. In conclusion, NKP is a highly technique-sensitive procedure, as endoscopists' experience, bleeding during NKP, and surgically altered anatomy were predictors of initial NKP failure.
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