Identifying a spatial scale for the analysis of residential burglary: An empirical framework based on point pattern analysis

PLoS One. 2022 Feb 28;17(2):e0264718. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0264718. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

A key issue in the spatial and temporal analysis of residential burglary is the choice of scale: spatial patterns might differ appreciably for different time periods and vary across geographic units of analysis. Based on point pattern analysis of burglary incidents in Columbus, Ohio during a 9-year period, this study develops an empirical framework to identify a useful spatial scale and its dependence on temporal aggregation. Our analysis reveals that residential burglary in Columbus clusters at a characteristic scale of 2.2 km. An ANOVA test shows no significant impact of temporal aggregation on spatial scale of clustering. This study demonstrates the value of point pattern analysis in identifying a scale for the analysis of crime patterns. Furthermore, the characteristic scale of clustering determined using our method has great potential applications: (1) it can reflect the spatial environment of criminogenic processes and thus be used to define the spatial boundary for place-based policing; (2) it can serve as a candidate for the bandwidth (search radius) for hot spot policing; (3) its independence of temporal aggregation implies that police officials need not be concerned about the shifting sizes of risk-areas depending on the time of the year.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Spatio-Temporal Analysis*

Grants and funding

SJ: Center for Social and Demographic Analysis (CSDA), University at Albany; Center for Urban and Regional Analysis (CURA), The Ohio State University. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.