Background: Long-term management and follow-up strategies in patients with intermediate-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) are still controversial due to the paucity of data on unique risk factors or a risk stratification system predictive of long-term outcomes.
Patients and methods: This study included 649 patients with PTC who underwent an initial surgical treatment. Retrospectively enrolled patients were categorized according to the ATA risk stratification system. Intermediate-risk patients were further categorized into subgroups by the number of ATA intermediate risk factors. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates of these subgroups were compared with those of low- and high-risk patient groups. Additionally, the patients were classified according to their response to the initial therapy using the dynamic risk stratification (DRS) system, and the percentages of patients in each category were compared among the subgroups.
Results: The median follow-up period was 102 months. Structural recurrence occurred in 9.2% of all enrolled patients (60/649) and in 13.0% of intermediate-risk patients (40/308). Patients with two or more current intermediate risk factors had a poorer RFS than patients with only one risk factor (p < 0.001) and showed a comparable RFS to high-risk patients (p > 0.050). The percentages of patients with an excellent response category for DRS significantly decreased with an increase in the number of intermediate risk factors.
Conclusion: Subclassification according to the number of intermediate risk factors may be useful to better predict the RFS and the response to initial therapy in patients with intermediate-risk PTC.
© 2022. Society of Surgical Oncology.