Pool size measurements improve precision of flux estimates but increase sensitivity to unmodeled reactions outside the core network in isotopically nonstationary metabolic flux analysis (INST-MFA)

Abstract

Metabolic flux analysis (MFA) involves model-based estimation of metabolic reaction rates (i.e., fluxes) and, in some cases, metabolite content (i.e., pool sizes) from experimental measurements. Applying MFA to biological data helps determine the fate of substrates and the activity of specific pathways within metabolic networks. However, reliably estimating fluxes by using simplified "core" models to predict the dynamics of larger metabolic networks remains a challenge. One point of uncertainty relates to the advantages and potential pitfalls of including pool size measurements as experimental inputs for isotopically nonstationary MFA (INST-MFA). Here, we directly assessed the role of pool sizes using various core models and simulated datasets. To investigate the effects of pool size measurements on INST-MFA, we assessed the accuracy and precision of flux estimates obtained using different subsets of data (e.g., with or without pool size measurements) and simple network models that either matched or differed from the true network. The inclusion of pool size measurements provided incremental improvements to the precision of the flux estimates. However, adding pool size measurements increased the sensitivity of the flux solution to unmodeled reactions outside the core network. These results were confirmed using a large Escherichia coli model that is representative of realistic metabolic networks examined in MFA studies. Our findings indicate that accurate flux estimates can be obtained in the absence of pool size measurements, even when using core models that lack full network coverage. Addition of pool size measurements to INST-MFA datasets may reveal the activity of non-core reactions that influence the labeling dynamics and therefore necessitate network expansion in order to reconcile all available data to the model. Our findings also emphasize the key role that goodness-of-fit testing plays in assessing the quality of model fits obtained with INST-MFA.

Keywords: metabolic engineering; metabolic flux analysis; metabolic network; metabolomics.