Incidence of type 1 diabetes among children and adolescents during peace and war times in Yemen

Abstract

Aim: To calculate a 30-year incidence rates of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in Sana'a city, Yemen during peace and wartimes.

Methods: A total of 461 patients aged between 8 months and 18 years with newly diagnosed diabetes were registered between 1989 and 2018. We used a standardized protocol for counting cases over time. The annual incidence rates (cases/100,000/year) were calculated from the number of new reported cases for each year divided by the estimated number of person-years "at risk" resident in Sana'a city, Yemen according to age and sex of the participants of that year.

Results: The mean annual incidence rate of T1D in children aged 0-14 years was 1.83/100,000/year. With the use of 3-year time-periods, the mean annual incidence rate was (5/100,000/year) in the first time-period, fluctuated between 1.2 and 2.3 during subsequent seven time-periods, and declined to (0.5/100,000/year) during the conflict years. The age-specific mean annual incidence rates for age-groups 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, and 15-18 years were 0.83, 1.82, 3.14, and 2.31/100,000/year, respectively.

Conclusion: The mean annual incidence rate of T1D in children and adolescents over the observation period in Sana'a city was low. In children aged 0-14 years in particular, the incidence declined to a very low rate during wartime. Interpretation is partly limited by lack of recent census data, and the possibility of death from nondiagnosis at onset.

Keywords: Yemen; adolescents; children; incidence; type 1 diabetes.