Prognostic Stratification Based on HIF-1 Signaling for Evaluating Hypoxic Status and Immune Infiltration in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinomas

Abstract

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a hypoxic and desmoplastic tumor microenvironment (TME), leading to treatment failure. We aimed to develop a prognostic classifier to evaluate hypoxia status and hypoxia-related molecular characteristics of PDAC. In this study, we classified PDAC into three clusters based on 16 known hypoxia-inducible factor 1 (HIF-1)-related genes. Nine differentially expressed genes were identified to construct an HIF-1 score system, whose predictive efficacy was evaluated. Furthermore, we investigated oncogenic pathways and immune-cell infiltration status of PDAC with different scores. The C-index of the HIF-1score system for OS prediction in the meta-PDAC cohort and the other two validation cohorts were 0.67, 0.63, and 0.65, respectively, indicating that it had a good predictive value for patient survival. Furthermore, the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the HIF-1α score system for predicting 1-, 3-, and 4-year OS indicated the HIF-1α score system had an optimal discrimination of prognostic prediction for PDAC. Importantly, our model showed superior predictive ability compared to previous hypoxia signatures. We also classified PDAC into HIF-1 scores of low, medium, and high groups. Then, we found high enrichment of glycolysis, mTORC1 signaling, and MYC signaling in the HIF-1 score high group, whereas the cGMP metabolic process was activated in the low score group. Of note, analysis of public datasets and our own dataset showed a high HIF-1 score was associated with high immunosuppressive TME, evidenced by fewer infiltrated CD8⁺ T cells, B cells, and type 1 T-helper cells and reduced cytolytic activity of CD8⁺ T cells. In summary, we established a specific HIF-1 score system to discriminate PDAC with various hypoxia statuses and immune microenvironments. For highly hypoxic and immunosuppressive tumors, a combination treatment strategy should be considered in the future.

Keywords: HIF-1; ICB; PDAC; hypoxia; immune infiltration; immunosuppression.