Background and aims: Scarce data exist on the effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) discontinuation on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHBe-). Therefore, we assessed whether HCC risk is increased in non-cirrhotic CHBe- patients who discontinue compared to those remaining on NAs.
Methods: This cohort study included 650 consecutive non-cirrhotic Caucasian or Asian patients with CHBe- without a history of HCC who discontinued NAs after a median of 5 or 3 years (cases, n = 325; Caucasians: 143, Asians: 182) or remained on NA therapy beyond 5 or 3 years respectively (controls, n = 325; Caucasians: 223, Asians: 102). Propensity score (PS) 1:1 matching was applied to adjust for patients' origin, age and sex.
Results: During a median follow-up of 44 months, HCC developed in 7/325 cases and 9/325 controls or 7/245 PS-matched cases and 7/245 PS-matched controls with 5-year cumulative HCC incidence of 5.1% and 4.9% respectively (log-rank, P = .836). No difference in 5-year HCC risk was observed between cases and controls of Caucasian (3.0% vs 4.8%; log-rank, P = .510) or Asian origin (1.3% vs 2.2%; log-rank, P = .873). In both cases and controls, HCC incidence was independently associated with age and PAGE-B score. In cases alone, HCC development after NA discontinuation was associated only with pretreatment platelet counts and PAGE-B score, but not with any type of relapse or HBsAg loss.
Conclusions: Our findings suggest that discontinuation of effective long-term NA therapy in non-cirrhotic CHBe- patients are not associated with increased HCC risk, which is not affected by post-NA relapses and/or HBsAg loss.
Keywords: discontinuation; entecavir; liver cancer; nucleoside analogue; tenofovir.
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