Impacts of COVID-19 on rural livelihoods in Bangladesh: Evidence using panel data

PLoS One. 2021 Nov 29;16(11):e0259264. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259264. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Rapid assessments have been emerging on the effects of COVID-19, yet rigorous analyses remain scant. Here, rigorous evidence of the impacts of COVID-19 on several livelihood outcomes are presented, with a particular focus on heterogenous effects of COVID-19. We use a household-level panel dataset consisting of 880 data points collected in rural Bangladesh in 2018 and 2020, and employ difference-in-differences with fixed effects regression techniques. Results suggest that COVID-19 had significant and heterogenous effects on livelihood outcomes. Agricultural production and share of production sold were reduced, especially for rice crops. Further, diet diversity and education expenditure were reduced for the total sample. Households primarily affected by (fear of) sickness had a significantly lower agricultural production, share of crop market sales, and lower health and education expenditure, compared to households affected by other COVID-19 effects, such as travel restrictions. In turn, (fear of) sickness and the correlated reduced incidence of leaving the house, resulted in higher off-farm incomes suggesting that households engage in less physically demanding and localized work. Policy-makers need to be cognizant of these heterogenous COVID-19 effects and formulate policies that are targeted at those households that are most vulnerable (e.g., unable/willing to leave the house due to (fear of) sickness).

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Agriculture
  • Bangladesh / epidemiology
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology*
  • Diet
  • Family Characteristics
  • Geography
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care
  • Regression Analysis
  • Rural Population*
  • Statistics as Topic

Grants and funding

This work received financial support from the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) commissioned and administered through the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) Fund for International Agricultural Research (FIA), contract number: 81219432. This research was undertaken as part of, and funded by, the CGIAR Research Program on Roots, Tubers and Bananas (RTB) and supported by CGIAR Trust Fund contributors. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.