Objective: To explore the health risks of the interactive effects between PM2.5 and ozone on cardiovascular mortality in Chengdu.
Methods: Daily data on the mortality of cardiovascular diseases, including data for both men and women, during 2014-2016 were collected. The meteorological data, the daily average of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 micrometers (PM2.5), and the daily ozone 8 h maximum concentration (O 3 8-h max) in Chengdu of the same period were also collected. Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) were adopted to explore the respective adverse health effects of PM2.5 and O 3 8-h max and the synergistic effects between PM2.5 and O 3 8-h max on the mortality of cardiovascular diseases in the city.
Results: The highest health risks of PM2.5 and O 3 8-h max for mortality of cardiovascular diseases were found to be the strongest for the cumulative effect of the lag of one day (lag01). For every 10 µg/m 3 increment in the mass concentration of PM2.5 (lag01), the associated increase in risks for total, male, and female cardiovascular mortalities was 0.35%, 0.26% and 0.38%, respectively. For every 10 µg/m 3 increment in the mass concentration of O 3 8-h max (lag01), the associated increase in risks for total, male, and female cardiovascular mortalities was 0.66%, 0.43%, and 1.05%, respectively. The total, male, and female cardiovascular mortalities all reached their maximum values when high concentration of PM2.5 coexisted with high concentrations of O 3 8-h max.
Conclusion: There was a synergistic amplification effect between high concentrations of PM2.5 and high concentrations of O 3 8-h max on cardiovascular mortality.
目的: 探究成都市大气环境中PM2.5与臭氧交互作用对当地心脑血管疾病死亡影响的健康风险。
方法: 利用成都市2014–2016年逐日心脑血管疾病(包括男性和女性)死亡资料、同期气象资料、PM2.5日均浓度和日均臭氧8 h浓度最大值(O3 8-h max)资料,采用广义相加模型分析PM2.5和O3 8-h max单效应及其二者交互作用对当地心脑血管疾病死亡人数的影响。
结果: 累积滞后一天(lag01)的PM2.5和O3 8-h max对心脑血管疾病死亡影响的风险均最大,PM2.5(lag01)质量浓度每升高10 µg/m3,心脑血管疾病总死亡、男性和女性死亡风险分别增加0.35%、0.26%和0.38%;O3 8-h max(lag01)质量浓度每升高10 µg/m3,心脑血管疾病总死亡、男性和女性死亡风险分别增加0.66%、0.43%和1.05%。高浓度PM2.5与高浓度O3 8-h max共存情况下,心脑血管疾病死亡总人数、男性和女性死亡人数均达到最多。
结论: 高浓度PM2.5与高浓度O3 8-h max对心脑血管疾病死亡的影响存在协同放大效应。
Keywords: Cardiovascular disease; Chengdu; Daily ozone 8-h maximum concentration; PM2.5; Synergistic effect.
Copyright© by Editorial Board of Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences).