Conceptual model for the evaluation of attractiveness, addictiveness and toxicity of tobacco and related products: The example of JUUL e-cigarettes

Abstract

Many new tobacco and related products (nTRP) have emerged on the market, with unknown health risks. Here, we present a conceptual model containing the factors and relations between them that contribute to the nTRP's health effects. Factors that determine attractiveness, addictiveness and toxicity of nTRP were defined based on previous assessments, literature, and expert discussions. Our model will aid in identifying key risk factors contributing to increased risk of adverse health effects for a product in a qualitative manner. Additionally, it can gauge attractiveness for specific user groups, as a determinant for population prevalence of use. Our model can be used to identify aspects of nTRP that require attention for public information or product regulation. As an example, we applied this to JUUL, a popular e-cigarette in the US. Aspects of concern for JUUL are its attractive and discrete shape, user-friendly prefilled pods, flavors, high aerosol nicotine levels, and liquids containing nicotine salts instead of free-based nicotine. The addictiveness and especially attractiveness are sufficiently high to have a large potential impact on population health due to its contribution to use and hence exposure. Products and their use can change over time; therefore market research and monitoring are crucial.

Keywords: Addictiveness; Attractiveness; Health effect evaluation; Tobacco and related products; Toxicity.