Spatial analysis of congenital syphilis in the State of Rio Grande do Norte, between 2008 and 2018

Rev Esc Enferm USP. 2021 Oct 1:55:e20200578. doi: 10.1590/1980-220X-REEUSP-2020-0578. eCollection 2021.
[Article in English, Portuguese]

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the spatial distribution of congenital syphilis cases in a state in northeastern Brazil.

Method: This is an ecological study, with secondary data for the period from 2008 to 2018, taking as a sample the notified cases of congenital syphilis in Rio Grande do Norte. In the data analysis, the eight health regions of the state were used as units of analysis, and the local and global Moran's I was performed, with subsequent smoothing through the local empirical Bayesian method, which resulted in thematic maps.

Results: The results showed an increase in cases of congenital syphilis in the 3rd and 7thhealth regions. In terms of spatial analysis, this investigation showed clusters in the 3rd, 5th, and 7thhealth regions, with an increased risk for congenital syphilis of up to 2.65 times and with an incidence rate of 7.91 cases per 1,000 live births.

Conclusion: The spatial analysis of congenital syphilis cases allowed observing a high incidence in some health regions, with averages above those calculated for the entire state, indicating the need to implement effective strategies to achieve its control.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Spatial Analysis
  • Syphilis, Congenital* / epidemiology