This study aimed to investigate whether the progression risk score (PRS) developed from cytoplasmic immunohistochemistry (IHC) biomarkers is available and applicable for assessing risk and prognosis in oral cancer patients. Participants in this retrospective case-control study were diagnosed between 2012 and 2014 and subsequently underwent surgical intervention. The specimens from surgery were stained by IHC for 16 cytoplasmic target markers. We evaluated the results of IHC staining, clinical and pathological features, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) of 102 oral cancer patients using a novel estimation approach with unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis. Patients were stratified into high-risk (52) and low-risk (50) groups, according to their PRS; a metric consisting of cytoplasmic PLK1, PhosphoMet, SGK2, and SHC1 expression. Moreover, PRS could be extended for use in the Cox proportional hazard regression model to estimate survival outcomes with associated clinical parameters. Our study findings revealed that the high-risk patients had a significantly increased risk in cancer progression compared with low-risk patients (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.10-2.42, p = 0.026). After considering the influences of demographics, risk behaviors, and tumor characteristics, risk estimation with PRS provided distinct PFS groups for patients with oral cancer (p = 0.017, p = 0.019, and p = 0.020). Our findings support that PRS could serve as an ideal biomarker for clinical use in risk stratification and progression assessment in oral cancer.
Keywords: oral cancer; progression-free survival; risk stratification.