Diagnosing autism spectrum disorder (ASD) requires extensive clinical expertise and training as well as a focus on differential diagnoses. The diagnostic process is particularly complex given symptom overlap with other mental disorders and high rates of co-occurring physical and mental health concerns. The aim of this study was to conduct a data-driven selection of the most relevant diagnostic information collected from a behavior observation and an anamnestic interview in two clinical samples of children/younger adolescents and adolescents/adults with suspected ASD. Via random forests, the present study discovered patterns of symptoms in the diagnostic data of 2310 participants (46% ASD, 54% non-ASD, age range 4-72 years) using data from the combined Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule (ADOS) and Autism Diagnostic Interview-Revised (ADI-R) and ADOS data alone. Classifiers built on reduced subsets of diagnostic features yield satisfactory sensitivity and specificity values. For adolescents/adults specificity values were lower compared to those for children/younger adolescents. The models including ADOS and ADI-R data were mainly built on ADOS items and in the adolescent/adult sample the classifier including only ADOS items performed even better than the classifier including information from both instruments. Results suggest that reduced subsets of ADOS and ADI-R items may suffice to effectively differentiate ASD from other mental disorders. The imbalance of ADOS and ADI-R items included in the models leads to the assumption that, particularly in adolescents and adults, the ADI-R may play a lesser role than current behavior observations.
Keywords: ADI-R; ADOS; Goldstandard; autism spectrum disorder; clinical characteristics; differential diagnosis behavioral aspects; machine learning; random forest.
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