The tumor grade of endometrioid endometrial cancer is used as an independent marker of prognosis and a key component in clinical decision making. It is reported that between grades 1 and 3, however, the intermediate grade 2 carries limited information; thus, patients with grade 2 tumors are at risk of both under- and overtreatment. We used RNA-sequencing data from the TCGA project and machine learning to develop a model which can correctly classify grade 1 and grade 3 samples. We used the trained model on grade 2 patients to subdivide them into low-risk and high-risk groups. With iterative retraining, we selected the most relevant 12 transcripts to build a simplified model without losing accuracy. Both models had a high AUC of 0.93. In both cases, there was a significant difference in the relapse-free survivals of the newly identified grade 2 subgroups. Both models could identify grade 2 patients that have a higher risk of relapse. Our approach overcomes the subjective components of the histological evaluation. The developed method can be automated to perform a prescreening of the samples before a final decision is made by pathologists. Our translational approach based on machine learning methods could allow for better therapeutic planning for grade 2 endometrial cancer patients.
Keywords: RNA-seq; TCGA; biomarkers; elastic-net; endometrial cancer; endometrium; fertility preservation; machine learning; relapse-free survival; tumor grade.