Predicting the trajectories of surrounding vehicles by considering their interactions is an essential ability for the functioning of autonomous vehicles. The subsequent movement of a vehicle is decided based on the multiple maneuvers of surrounding vehicles. Therefore, to predict the trajectories of surrounding vehicles, interactions among multiple maneuvers should be considered. Recent research has taken into account interactions that are difficult to express mathematically using data-driven deep learning methods. However, previous studies have only considered the interactions among observed trajectories due to subsequent maneuvers that are unobservable and numerous maneuver combinations. Thus, to consider the interaction among multiple maneuvers, this paper proposes a hierarchical graph neural network. The proposed hierarchical model approximately predicts the multiple maneuvers of vehicles and considers the interaction among the maneuvers by representing their relationships in a graph structure. The proposed method was evaluated using a publicly available dataset and a real driving dataset. Compared with previous methods, the results of the proposed method exhibited better prediction performance in highly interactive situations.
Keywords: autonomous vehicle; deep learning-based trajectory prediction; graph neural network; hierarchical structure; interaction-aware trajectory prediction; multimodal maneuver.