A nomogram predicting the difficulty of laparoscopic surgery for rectal cancer

Surg Today. 2021 Nov;51(11):1835-1842. doi: 10.1007/s00595-021-02338-x. Epub 2021 Jul 22.

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to identify the risk factors associated with performing a difficult laparoscopic radical resection of rectal cancer, and to establish a predictive nomogram to help individual clinical treatment decisions.

Methods: A total of 977 patients with rectal cancer who underwent laparoscopic radical resection between January 2014 and December 2016 were enrolled in this study. The difficulty of laparoscopic-assisted rectal resection (LARR) was defined according to the scoring criteria reported by Escal. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the variables that may affect the difficulty of LARR, and a nomogram predicting the surgical difficulty was created.

Results: A multivariate analysis demonstrated that a BMI > 28 kg/m2, the distance between the tumor and the anal margin ≤ 5 cm, the maximum transverse tumor diameter > 3 cm tumor, interspinous distance < 10 cm, history of abdominal surgery, and preoperative radiotherapy were independent risk factors and they were, therefore, included in the predictive nomogram for identifying a difficult LARR.

Conclusions: This study defined a difficult LARR and identified independent risk factors for a difficult operation and created a predictive nomogram for difficult LARR. This nomogram may facilitate the stratification of patients at risk for being associated with a difficult LARR for rectal cancer.

Keywords: Decision curve; Difficult operation; Nomogram model; Rectal cancer.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Anal Canal / pathology
  • Clinical Decision-Making
  • Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal / methods*
  • Female
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Laparoscopy / methods*
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Nomograms*
  • Preoperative Period
  • Radiotherapy / adverse effects
  • Rectal Neoplasms / pathology
  • Rectal Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Rectum / pathology
  • Rectum / surgery*
  • Risk Factors