The article develops an approach to building a model of interregional interactions based on regionalization of national input-output tables. Options for the spatial structure of gross output depending on the forecast of investments in fixed assets are presented. Five main options for the prospective spatial organization of economic development are proposed. The advantages of the scenario of locally diversified growth, which is more acceptable from the point of view of territorial justice but requiring active state regulation of spatial development, are shown.
Keywords: forecast; interregional interactions; investment; matrix of interactions; scenario; shift-share analysis; spatial development.
© Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2021, ISSN 1075-7007, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2021, Vol. 32, No. 3, pp. 318–324. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2021.Russian Text © The Author(s), 2021.