Early childhood circumcision in Australia: Trends over 20 years and interrupted time series analysis

ANZ J Surg. 2021 Jul;91(7-8):1491-1496. doi: 10.1111/ans.16927. Epub 2021 May 12.

Abstract

Background: Male circumcision is one of the most common surgical procedures performed in the Australian private sector. This study examines the trends in childhood circumcision throughout the early 21st century.

Methods: Circumcisions performed between 2000 and 2019 amongst preschool-aged Australian boys (0-4 years) were obtained from the Medicare Benefits Schedule. Quarterly data for Victoria and South Australia were divided into three phases separated by (i) state-wide bans of non-therapeutic circumcision in the public sector (2007) and (ii) a disfavouring of non-therapeutic circumcisions by the Royal Australasian College of Physicians (2010). Interrupted time series analyses determined differences between pre-ban (2000-2007), post-ban (2007-2010) and reversal (2010-2019) phases.

Results: Altogether, 478 717 circumcisions were performed on preschool-aged boys. Incidence progressed from 2675 per 100 000 preschoolers in 2000 to 3140 in 2008 to 1875 in 2019. In Victoria, the baseline (Q1-2000) rate of circumcision was 294.9 per 100 000. This rose by +1.3 (1.1 to 4.1, p < 0.001) per quarter pre-ban and +6.6 (3.0 to 10.3, p = 0.001) post-ban before decreasing by -13.1 (-16.4 to -9.8, p < 0.001) in the reversal phase. In South Australia, the initial rate was 745.2 per 100 000 and increased by +1.4 (0.0 to 2.8, p = 0.045) per quarter pre-ban, +7.6 (0.5 to 14.7, p = 0.035) post-ban and retracted by -20.8 (-27.9 to -13.7, p < 0.001) during the reversal phase.

Conclusion: The incidence of childhood circumcisions in Australia observed a significant rise and fall throughout the early 21st century. Medical and surgical authorities may have played an important role in the gradual reduction of procedures over the last decade.

Keywords: childhood circumcision; interrupted time series analysis; private sector; routine circumcision.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Child, Preschool
  • Circumcision, Male*
  • Humans
  • Interrupted Time Series Analysis
  • Male
  • Medicare
  • South Australia
  • United States
  • Victoria / epidemiology