Objectives: To study the effect of high-risk criteria on 30-day outcomes in frail older patients with acute heart failure (AHF) discharged from an emergency department (ED) or an ED's observation and short-stay areas.
Material and methods: Secondary analysis of discharge records in the Older AHF Key Data registry. We selected frail patients (aged > 70 years) discharged with AHF from EDs. Risk factors were categorized as modifiable or nonmodifiable. The outcomes were a composite endpoint for a cardiovascular event (revisits for AHF, hospitalization for AHF, or cardiovascular death) and the number of days alive out-of-hospital (DAOH) within 30 days of discharge.
Results: We included 380 patients with a mean (SD) age of 86 (5.5) years (61.2% women). Modifiable risk factors were identified in 65.1%, nonmodifiable ones in 47.8%, and both types in 81.6%. The 30-day cardiovascular composite endpoint occurred in 83 patients (21.8%). The mean 30-day DAOH observed was 27.6 (6.1) days. Highrisk factors were present more often in patients who developed the cardiovascular event composite endpoint: the rates for patients with modifiable, nonmodifiable, or both types of risk were, respectively, as follows in comparison with patients not at high risk: 25.0% vs 17.2%, P = .092; 27.6% vs 16.7%, P = .010; and 24.7% vs 15.2%, P = .098). The 30-day DAOH outcome was also lower for at-risk patients, according to type of risk factor present: modifiable, 26.9 (7.0) vs 28.4 (4.4) days, P = .011; nonmodifiable, 27.1 (7.0) vs 28.0 (5.0) days, P = .127; and both, 27.1 (6.7) vs 28.8 (3.4) days, P = .005). After multivariate analysis, modifiable risk remained independently associated with fewer days alive (adjusted absolute difference in 30-day DAOH, -1.3 days (95% CI, -2.7 to -0.1 days). Nonmodifiable factors were associated with increased risk for the 30-day cardiovascular composite endpoint (adjusted absolute difference, 10.4%; 95% CI, -2.1% to 18.7%).
Conclusion: Risk factors are common in frail elderly patients with AHF discharged home from hospital ED areas. Their presence is associated with a worse 30-day prognosis.
Objetivo: Estudiar el efecto a 30 días de los criterios de alto riesgo (CAR) en los mayores frágiles con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda (ICA) dados de alta desde urgencias o unidades vinculadas (URG_UV).
Metodo: Análisis secundario del registro OAK-Discharge. Se seleccionaron pacientes frágiles 70 años con ICA dados de alta desde URG_UV. Los CAR se clasificaron en modificables (CAR_M) y no modificables (CAR_NM). Las variables de resultado fueron la compuesta cardiovascular (VC_CV) (revisita u hospitalización por ICA o mortalidad cardiovascular) y días vivos fuera del hospital (DVFH) a 30 días del alta.
Resultados: Se incluyeron 380 pacientes con una edad media de 86 (DE 5,5) años, 61,2% mujeres. Un 65,1% tuvo CAR_M, 47,8% CAR_NM y 81,6% ambos. Ochenta y tres pacientes (21,8%) presentaron la VC_CV a 30 días. La media de DVFH a 30 días fue de 27,6 (DE 6,1) días. La presencia de CAR modificable, no modificable o ambos, se asoció más frecuentemente a la VC_CV a 30 días (25,0% vs 17,2%, p = 0,092; 27,6% vs 16,7%, p = 0,010; 24,7% vs 15,2%, p = 0,098) y a menos DVFH a 30 días [26,9 (7,0) vs 28,4 (4,4), p = 0,011; 27,1 (7,0) vs 28,0 (5,0), p = 0,127; 27,1 (6,7) vs 28,8 (3,4), p = 0,005], respectivamente. Tras el análisis multivariante, los CAR_M se asociaron de forma independiente con menos DVFH a 30 días (diferencia absoluta ajustada –1,3 días; IC 95% –2,7 a –0,1) y los CAR_NM con más eventos en la VC_CV a 30 días (diferencia absoluta ajustada 10,4%; IC 95% 2,1% a 18,7%).
Conclusiones: Los CAR son frecuentes en los mayores frágiles con ICA dados de alta desde URG_UV y su presencia se asocia a peores resultados a 30 días tras alta.
Keywords: Acute heart failure.; Aged.; Anciano.; Emergency department.; Fragilidad.; Frail elderly.; Insuficiencia cardiaca aguda.; Servicio de urgencias..