Predictive value of attended automated office blood pressure and resting pulse rate for mortality in community-dwelling octogenarians: Minhang study

Abstract

Systolic blood pressure (SBP) and resting pulse rate (RPR) have been linked to mortality and cardiovascular events in younger population. Till now, no studies simultaneously investigate the non-linear association of SBP and RPR with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among population aged 80 and older. Data of 2828 eligible participants were selected from electronic health records linked attended automated office blood pressure measurement system. The dose-response relationship between the SBP, RPR, and the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was analyzed by Cox model with restricted cubic splines. During the 3.6-year follow-up, 442 deaths occurred. Comparing with the optimal SBP (117-145 mmHg), the lower (HR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.07-1.81) and higher SBP (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.08-1.65) were significantly associated with an increasing risk of all-cause mortality. The higher SBP (>144 mmHg) was associated with cardiovascular mortality, with the HR (95% CI) as 1.51 (1.07-2.12). The faster RPR showed the higher risk of all-cause (HR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.05-1.76) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.07-2.13) mortality. We found both higher SBP and faster RPR were independently associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and lower SBP was only associated with the increased risk of all-cause mortality in oldest old community-dwelling Chinese population. Our results demonstrate the prognostic importance of both SBP and RPR in the elderly.

Keywords: all-cause mortality; cardiovascular mortality; old elders; resting pulse rate; systolic blood pressure.