Parallel trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and retail/recreation and public transport mobility during non-lockdown periods

Int J Infect Dis. 2021 Mar:104:693-695. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.01.067. Epub 2021 Feb 1.

Abstract

Recent literature strongly supports the hypothesis that mobility restriction and social distancing play a crucial role in limiting the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). During the first wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it was shown that mobility restriction reduced transmission significantly. This study found that, in the period between the first two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was high positive correlation between trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and mobility. These two trends oscillated simultaneously, and increased mobility following the relaxation of lockdown rules was significantly associated with increased transmission. From a public health perspective, these results highlight the importance of tracking changes in mobility when relaxing mitigation measures in order to anticipate future changes in the spread of SARS-CoV-2.

Keywords: Effective reproduction number; Mobility; SARS-Cov-2; Transmission.

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • COVID-19 / prevention & control
  • COVID-19 / transmission*
  • Humans
  • Public Health
  • Quarantine
  • Recreation
  • SARS-CoV-2*
  • Travel