Independent Risk Factors of Early Recurrence After Curative Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: Adjuvant Chemotherapy May Be Beneficial in Early Recurrence Subgroup

Cancer Manag Res. 2020 Dec 22:12:13111-13123. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S289094. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Purpose: In current clinical practice, early recurrence (ER) is not commonly discussed in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), and its risk factors for this disease have not been well clarified. We carried out this study to analyze the risk factors contributing to ER and explored the prognostic factors after curative resection for pCCA.

Patients and methods: A total of 335 consecutive pCCA patients were retrospectively analyzed. Risk factors contributing to ER were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Prognostic factors of the ER group were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. The overall survival (OS) rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Log rank test was used for OS comparison.

Results: Of the 335 cases, 258 patients (77.0%) developed tumor recurrence, 136 patients (40.6%) developed ER, and 122 patients (36.4%) developed late recurrence (LR) postoperatively. The median OS of the ER and LR groups was 15 months and 36 months, respectively (P<0.001). The multivariate analysis revealed that poor pathological differentiation (P=0.006; moderate vs well, odds ratio [OR]=2.162, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.753-6.208, P=0.152; poor vs well, OR=4.839, 95% CI 1.544-15.170, P=0.007), perineural invasion (OR=4.797, 95% CI 1.586-14.510, P=0.005), and high levels of preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (OR=2.205, 95% CI 1.208-4.026, P=0.010) were independent risk factors of developing ER after resection. Adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.383, 95% CI 0.154-0.953, P=0.039) remained as the independent protective factor of OS in patients with ER.

Conclusion: It is recommended that patients with poorly differentiated tumors, presence of perineural invasion, and high levels of preoperative CA19-9 receive closer follow-up and adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery.

Keywords: adjuvant chemotherapy; curative-intent resection; early recurrence; overall survival; perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

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