Dynamics Analysis of a Nonlinear Stochastic SEIR Epidemic System with Varying Population Size

Entropy (Basel). 2018 May 17;20(5):376. doi: 10.3390/e20050376.

Abstract

This paper considers a stochastic susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) epidemic model with varying population size and vaccination. We aim to study the global dynamics of the reduced nonlinear stochastic proportional differential system. We first investigate the existence and uniqueness of global positive solution of the stochastic system. Then the sufficient conditions for the extinction and permanence in mean of the infectious disease are obtained. Furthermore, we prove that the solution of the stochastic system has a unique ergodic stationary distribution under appropriate conditions. Finally, the discussion and numerical simulation are given to demonstrate the obtained results.

Keywords: Stochastic SEIR model; permanence in mean; stationary distribution; vaccination; varying population size.