Modeling the Impact of Seasonal Weather Variations on the Infectiology of Brucellosis

Comput Math Methods Med. 2020 Oct 17:2020:8972063. doi: 10.1155/2020/8972063. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

A deterministic mathematical model for brucellosis that incorporates seasonality on direct and indirect transmission parameters for domestic ruminants, wild animals, humans, and the environment was formulated and analyzed in this paper. Both analytical and numerical simulations are presented. From this study, the findings show that variations in seasonal weather have the great impact on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis in humans, livestock, and wild animals. Thus, in order for the disease to be controlled or eliminated, measures should be timely implemented upon the fluctuation in the transmission of the disease.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Animals, Domestic
  • Animals, Wild
  • Bacterial Zoonoses / transmission*
  • Basic Reproduction Number / statistics & numerical data
  • Brucellosis / transmission*
  • Brucellosis / veterinary*
  • Computational Biology
  • Computer Simulation
  • Disease Susceptibility / veterinary
  • Environmental Microbiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological*
  • Seasons
  • Weather