Assessing false paternity risk in simulated motherless cases from more than 20 000 real exclusion trios

Transfusion. 2021 Mar;61(3):678-681. doi: 10.1111/trf.16153. Epub 2020 Oct 21.

Abstract

Background: When the mother's DNA profile is not available for paternity testing, there is a smaller probability that a locus will exclude an alleged father. This study aims to evaluate the risk of potential false paternity inclusions in motherless cases.

Study design and methods: More than 20 000 duos were generated by removing the maternal genotypes from exclusion trios. After recalculating paternity in these duos, any found inclusions would be false.

Results: The use of an appropriate number of loci, mutation model, and mutation rates to analyze motherless paternity cases was robust against false inclusions. A single potential false inclusion was observed in a case wherein kinship plays a role. This result highlights the importance of testing the mother when available and of obtaining information on family circumstances for the proper handling of cases involving related individuals.

Conclusion: The guidelines we used here were sufficient to avoid false inclusions in a data set of more than 20 000 motherless cases.

Keywords: STR loci; deficient paternity; duo; false inclusion; motherless; paternity.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Alleles
  • Computer Simulation
  • Female
  • Genetic Loci*
  • Genotype
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Microsatellite Repeats*
  • Mothers
  • Mutation
  • Paternity
  • Probability