Combination of D-dimer and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index to improve prediction of hospital death in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

J Int Med Res. 2020 Oct;48(10):300060520962291. doi: 10.1177/0300060520962291.

Abstract

Objective: To investigate whether the combination of D-dimer and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) could improve prediction of in-hospital death from pulmonary embolism (PE).

Methods: Patients with PE (n = 272) were divided into a surviving group (n = 249) and an in-hospital death group (n = 23).

Results: Compared with surviving patients, patients who died in hospital had significantly higher rates of hypotension and tachycardia, reduced SaO2 levels, elevated D-dimer and troponin T levels, higher sPESI scores, and were more likely to be classified as high risk. Elevated D-dimer levels and high sPESI scores were significantly associated with in-hospital death. Using thresholds for D-dimer and sPESI of 3.175 ng/mL and 1.5, respectively, the specificity for prediction of in-hospital death was 0.357 and 0.414, respectively, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.665 and 0.668, respectively. When D-dimer and sPESI were considered together, the specificity for prediction of in-hospital death increased to 0.838 and the AUC increased to 0.74.

Conclusions: D-dimer and sPESI were associated with in-hospital death from PE. Considering D-dimer levels together with sPESI can significantly improve the specificity of predicting in-hospital death for patients with PE.

Keywords: D-dimer; in-hospital death; prognosis; pulmonary embolism; receiver operating characteristic curve; sPESI.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Female
  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products*
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Hospitals
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Pulmonary Embolism* / diagnosis
  • Pulmonary Embolism* / mortality
  • Risk Assessment
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Stroke Volume
  • Ventricular Function, Left*

Substances

  • Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products
  • fibrin fragment D