A novel gene signature to predict immune infiltration and outcome in patients with prostate cancer

Abstract

Prostate cancer (PCa) is one of the most common malignancies in male. We aim to establish a novel gene signature for immune infiltration and outcome (biochemical recurrence (BCR) and overall survival (OS)) of patients with prostate cancer (PCa) to augment Gleason patterns for evaluating prognosis and managing patients undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP). Combined with our microarray data and the Cancer Genome Atlas Project (TCGA) database (discovery set), we identified a six-gene signature. The Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database served as the test set. The databases of Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) and Third Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University (TAHNU) served as an external validation set. Immunohistochemistry was used to investigate the relationship between risk groups and the immune infiltrate. We identified a six-gene signature to predict immune cell infiltration and outcome of PCa patients. The AUC values used to predict early BCR in the discovery, test, FUSCC, and TAHNU sets were 0.73, 0.76, 0.72, and 0.81, respectively. Low-risk score patients in each dataset experienced significantly longer OS (P = .01, 0.04, 0.02, respectively). The signature also predicted high regulatory T cells (Tregs) and M2-polarized macrophages infiltration in high-risk score patients with PCa. Additionally, high mutation load, related signal pathways, and sensitivity to anticancer drugs that correlated with high-risk score of cancer progression and death were also identified. The six-gene signature may improve prognostic information, serve as a prognostic tool to manage patients after RP, and advance basic studies of PCa.

Keywords: Gene signature; biochemical recurrence; immune infiltration; overall survival; prostate cancer.