Validation and quality measurements for STS, EuroSCORE II and a regional risk model in Brazilian patients

PLoS One. 2020 Sep 10;15(9):e0238737. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0238737. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Objectives: The objectives of this study were to describe a novel statewide registry for cardiac surgery in Brazil (REPLICCAR), to compare a regional risk model (SPScore) with EuroSCORE II and STS, and to understand where quality improvement and safety initiatives can be implemented.

Methods: A total of 11 sites in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, formed an online registry platform to capture information on risk factors and outcomes after cardiac surgery procedures for all consecutive patients. EuroSCORE II and STS values were calculated for each patient. An SPScore model was designed and compared with EuroSCORE II and STS to predict 30-day outcomes: death, reoperation, readmission, and any morbidity.

Results: A total of 5222 patients were enrolled in this study between November 2013 and December 2017. The observed 30-day mortality rate was 7.6%. Most patients were older, overweight, and classified as New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class III; 14.5% of the patient population had a positive diagnosis of rheumatic heart disease, 10.9% had insulin-dependent diabetes, and 19 individuals had a positive diagnosis of Chagas disease. When evaluating the prediction performance, we found that SPScore outperformed EuroSCORE II and STS in the prediction of mortality (0.90 vs. 0.76 and 0.77), reoperation (0.84 vs. 0.60 and 0.56), readmission (0.84 vs. 0.55 and 0.51), and any morbidity (0.80 vs. 0.65 and 0.64), respectively (p<0.001).

Conclusions: The REPLICCAR registry might stimulate the creation of other cardiac surgery registries in developing countries, ultimately improving the regional quality of care provided to patients.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Brazil
  • Cardiac Surgical Procedures / adverse effects
  • Cardiac Surgical Procedures / statistics & numerical data*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Quality Control
  • Registries
  • Risk Assessment
  • Safety

Grants and funding

Funding was received from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, Secretary of Health for the State of São Paulo, São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), National Council of Technological and Scientific Development, and PPSUS Program/2012 that allowed the development of this study within the Process FAPESP N°2012/51229-5 to OAVM. http://www.fapesp.br/ The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.