Comparison of COVID-19 Pandemic Dynamics in Asian Countries with Statistical Modeling

Comput Math Methods Med. 2020 Jun 28:2020:4296806. doi: 10.1155/2020/4296806. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

In the current scenario, the outbreak of a pandemic disease COVID-19 is of great interest. A broad statistical analysis of this event is still to come, but it is immediately needed to evaluate the disease dynamics in order to arrange the appropriate quarantine activities, to estimate the required number of places in hospitals, the level of individual protection, the rate of isolation of infected persons, and among others. In this article, we provide a convenient method of data comparison that can be helpful for both the governmental and private organizations. Up to date, facts and figures of the total the confirmed cases, daily confirmed cases, total deaths, and daily deaths that have been reported in the Asian countries are provided. Furthermore, a statistical model is suggested to provide a best description of the COVID-19 total death data in the Asian countries.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Asia
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Betacoronavirus
  • COVID-19
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology*
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • Hospitals
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Likelihood Functions
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Pandemics
  • Patient Isolation
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology*
  • Quarantine
  • SARS-CoV-2