Rubrics for mortality: a real-world observational long-term lupus nephritis cohort

Lupus. 2020 Oct;29(12):1616-1622. doi: 10.1177/0961203320937472. Epub 2020 Jun 30.

Abstract

In this study, we aimed to evaluate long-term patient survival according to demographic data, clinical manifestations of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and previous and current treatments, collected retrospectively. Patient selection required a minimum of four American College of Rheumatology revised criteria for SLE, biopsy-proven lupus nephritis (LN) available for reclassification according to the modified National Institutes of Health proposal for activity and chronicity indices and a minimum follow-up of at least three years since the last renal biopsy. Selection criteria were fulfilled in 25 patients followed for a median of 21 years. Based on the last renal biopsy, an equal number of patients were thus classified as class I/II and IV (n=8) and class III and V (n = 4). The mortality rate for LN was 14%. Having ever been diagnosed with glomerulonephritis (GN) type III or type IV but not class IV alone (p = 0.046), a higher histological chronicity index at the last renal biopsy (p = 0.022), not attaining renal remission one year after induction therapy (p = 0.004), end-stage renal disease on dialysis (p = 0.033) and the extra-renal Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics Damage Index score (p = 0.017) were all significantly associated with mortality. Our results may provide important clues for strict observation protocols in particular categories of LN patients with long-standing disease.

Keywords: Glomerulonephritis; mortality; prognosis; systemic lupus erythematosus.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Anti-Infective Agents / therapeutic use
  • Biopsy
  • Cause of Death
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / epidemiology*
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / mortality
  • Kidney Failure, Chronic / pathology
  • Lupus Nephritis / drug therapy
  • Lupus Nephritis / epidemiology*
  • Lupus Nephritis / mortality
  • Lupus Nephritis / pathology
  • Male
  • Portugal / epidemiology
  • Remission Induction
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Analysis
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Anti-Infective Agents