The GRACE Scale in the Prognosis of Patients with Takotsubo Syndrome

Abstract

Background: The prognosis of Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is comparable to that of the non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). The GRACE scale is used to assess the risk of premature and long-term mortality in patients with NSTEMI in order to select the most favorable treatment strategy.

Methods: 101 patients with TTS hospitalized in four centers of invasive cardiology in Podlaskie Voivodeship during the period 2008-2012 were included in the study. The patients were divided into two groups: I-52 patients (GRACE ≤ 140 points) and II-49 patients (GRACE > 140 points).

Results: The mean GRACE score in the study group was 138.66. The in-hospital stay of Takotsubo in the patients with higher GRACE scores was associated with higher incidence of pneumonia (36.7% vs 7.69%, p=0.0004), rhythm abnormalities (17.3% vs 3.85%, p=0.026), and serious complications (cardiogenic shock, pulmonary edema, and sudden cardiac arrest) (30.6% vs 5.77%, p=0.001). The mean observation period was 7.2 years. A significantly higher risk of 6-month (18.37% vs 3.85%, p=0.019), 1-year (22.45 vs 3.85%, p=0.005), 3-year (40.82 vs 3.85%, p < 0.0001), 5-year (42.86% vs 3.85%, p < 0.0001), and 7-year mortalities (53.06% vs 9.62%, p < 0.0001) was observed in the group of patients with a GRACE score ≥140. At multivariate analysis including low BMI, low eGFR, and a higher GRACE score, all these factors were independent predictor of death (p=0.042; p=0.010; p=0.041). The ROC curve presents the discriminatory scores of the GRACE scale for the follow-up prognostication. The area under ROC curve (AUC) for the GRACE scale was 0.805 (95% CI: 0.718-0.892, p < 0.0001), with a cut-off value of 153 points, sensitivity of 74%, and specificity of 77% for TTS.

Conclusion: The GRACE scale is highly valuable for the prognostication of death risk in patients with TTS in the early and long-term observation.