Developing a surveillance system of sub-county data: Finding suitable population thresholds for geographic aggregations

Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2020 Jun:33:100339. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2020.100339. Epub 2020 Mar 6.

Abstract

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Environmental Public Health Tracking Program created standardized sub-county geographies that are comparable over time, place, and outcomes. Expected census tract-level counts were calculated for asthma emergency department visits and lung cancer. Census tracts were aggregated for various total population and sub-population thresholds, then suppression and stability were examined. A total of 5,000 persons was recommended for the more common outcome scheme and a total of 20,000 persons was recommended for the rare outcome scheme. Health outcomes with a median case count of 17.0 cases or higher should produce stable estimates at the census tract level. This project generated recommendations for three sub-county geographies that will be useful for surveillance purposes: census tract, a more common outcome aggregation scheme, and a rare outcome aggregation scheme. This methodology can be applied anywhere to aggregate geographic units and produce stable rates at a finer resolution.

Keywords: Aggregation; Census tract; Environmental health; Sub-county; Surveillance; Tracking.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Asthma / epidemiology*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Female
  • Health Status Disparities*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Lung Neoplasms / epidemiology*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Population Surveillance
  • Spatial Analysis*
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Young Adult