Prognostic Value of Cystatin C-Derived Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Patients with Acute Heart Failure

Abstract

Background: Renal function is closely related to cardiac function and an important prognostic marker in heart failure.

Objective: We aimed to test the prognostic value of cystatin C (cysC)-derived estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) in comparison with eGFRs from creatinine solely based equations in patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

Methods: This study included 262 patients (65.8 ± 14.9 years old, 126 male) with AHF. Prognostic value of the eGFRs, from cysC-based equations chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI-cysC and CKD-EPI-creatinine [cr]-cysC equations) were compared with eGFRs calculated from serum creatinine levels only (Modification of Diet in Renal Disease [MDRD]-4 and CKD-EPI-cr equations). Prognosis was evaluated with the composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure within 1 year.

Results: During the follow-up period (mean follow-up period, 264.0 ± 136.1 days), 67 (25.6%) events occurred. Estimated GFR using CKD-EPI-cysC was the best for predicting 1-year outcome using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (area under curve 0.585, 0.607, 0.669, and 0.652 for eGFRs from MDRD-4, CKD-EPI-cr, CKD-EPI-cysC, and CKD-EPI-cr-cysC respectively). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis showed that only the eGFRs classification from the equations based on cysC significantly predicted 1-year outcome in patients with AHF.

Conclusions: Estimated GFRs calculated with cysC predicted the prognosis more accurately in patients with AHF than the eGFRs from creatinine only equations.

Keywords: Cystatin C; Glomerular filtration rate; Heart failure; Prognosis.