A simplified ecosystem model, the Aquatic Tritrophic Ecological Risk Assessment Model (A-TERAM), for the ecological risk assessment of chemicals is presented. The A-TERAM comprises a linear grazer food chain with 3 trophic levels (the algae-Daphnia-fish system). The model simulates the seasonal patterns of abundance at each level observed in the field, and it translates the direct toxic effects of chemicals on algae or Daphnia to implications for fish via ecological interactions; thus, the A-TERAM evaluates ecological risk in terms of the annual population growth rate of fish. The model also incorporates toxicokinetics for fish. The minimum input data required for the A-TERAM are basic ecotoxicity endpoints (algal growth inhibition median effect concentration [EC50] or no-observed effect concentration, Daphnia immobility EC50, and fish acute mortality median lethal concentration); however, additional ecotoxicity data (Daphnia reproduction test, fish early life test, and fish reproduction test) are also relevant for improving simulations. Comparisons made across 496 chemicals (255 nonagricultural chemicals and 241 agrochemicals) indicated that the A-TERAM, in comparison with the conventional predicted-effect concentration/predicted-no-effect concentration method, tended to evaluate higher risk to chemicals that are highly bioaccumulative and toxic to fish by 2 orders of magnitude at the largest but lower or comparable risk to chemicals that are toxic only to algae or Daphnia. Environ Toxicol Chem 2020;39:1086-1100. © 2020 SETAC.
Keywords: Community-level effect; Ecological modeling; Ecological risk assessment; Mechanistic model; Population-level effect.
© 2020 SETAC.