Predictors of Recurrence and Survival in Patients With Surgically Resected Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors

Pancreas. 2020 Feb;49(2):249-254. doi: 10.1097/MPA.0000000000001477.

Abstract

Objective: Given the lack of consensus on surveillance guidelines after pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor (PanNET) resection, we assessed outcomes in a large cohort of patients with nonmetastatic, surgically resected PanNETs.

Methods: Data of patients with PanNETs resected between 1990 and 2017 were retrospectively collected using databases at 3 academic institutions. The National Death Index was queried to determine vital status. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate recurrence-free survival (RFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates. Variables associated with recurrence and disease-related death were identified through Cox multivariate analyses.

Results: Of 307 patients with PanNET who underwent resection, recurrence occurred in 79 (26%) of patients. For stage I and II disease, 5-year RFS rates were 90% and 43%, whereas 5-year DSS rates were 98% and 86% (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.0038, respectively). For grades 1, 2, and 3 disease, 5-year RFS rates were 87%, 49%, and 18%, and 5-year DSS rates were 98%, 89%, and 51% (P < 0.0001 for both). Stage II, grade 2, and grade 3 disease were each associated with increased recurrence and disease-specific death.

Conclusions: Stage and grade are important prognostic factors that should be utilized to tailor postsurgical surveillance after curative resection of PanNET.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors / pathology*
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors / surgery
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care / methods
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care / statistics & numerical data*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms / surgery
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Survival Rate
  • Young Adult