One tactic for cysteine protease inhibition is to form a covalent bond between an electrophilic atom of the inhibitor and the thiol of the catalytic cysteine. In this study, we evaluate the reaction free energy obtained from a hybrid quantum mechanical/molecular mechanical (QM/MM) free energy profile as a predictor of affinity for reversible, covalent inhibitors of rhodesain. We demonstrate that the reaction free energy calculated with the PM6/MM potential is in agreement with the experimental data and suggest that the free energy profile for covalent bond formation in a protein environment may be a useful tool for the inhibitor design.