The role of childhood BMI in predicting early adulthood dysglycemia: Tehran lipid and glucose study

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2020 Feb 10;30(2):313-319. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2019.09.026. Epub 2019 Oct 1.

Abstract

Background and aim: Increased adiposity is associated with insulin resistance and glycemic disturbances. We aimed to determine whether childhood overweight or obesity are independent factors in predicting adulthood dysglycemia (prediabetes or type 2 diabetes).

Methods and results: In this population-based cohort study, 1290 normoglycemic subjects aged 3-11 years were followed for incidence of dysglycemia. Cox-proportional hazard models were employed to evaluate the association of obesity and overweight with incidence of dysglycemia by adjustments for age, sex, parental risk factors and baseline individual risk factors. The participants, with a mean age of 7.7 ± 2.5 years, were followed for a median of 14.9 years. During follow up, 158 subjects developed dysglycemia (18 type 2 diabetes, 140 prediabetes), contributing to a total cumulative incidence of 24.7%. The unadjusted HR for developing adult dysglycemia were 1.6 (95% CI; 1.0-2.4) and 1.7 (95% CI; 1.0-3.0) in overweight and obese children, respectively. Further adjustments for age, sex, parental risk factors and baseline individual risk factors changed the results in both overweight and obese children.

Conclusion: These findings show that overweight or obesity in childhood have no independent role for developing adulthood dysglycemia.

Keywords: Adulthood; Childhood; Dysglycemia; Obesity; Overweight; Pre-diabetes; Type 2 diabetes.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Blood Glucose / analysis
  • Body Mass Index*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / blood
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / diagnosis
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / epidemiology*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Iran / epidemiology
  • Lipids / blood
  • Male
  • Pediatric Obesity / blood
  • Pediatric Obesity / diagnosis
  • Pediatric Obesity / epidemiology*
  • Prediabetic State / blood
  • Prediabetic State / diagnosis
  • Prediabetic State / epidemiology*
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Blood Glucose
  • Lipids