Predictor of enhanced mortality in patients with multimorbidity and atrial fibrillation in an acute hospital setting

QJM. 2020 May 1;113(5):330-335. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcz302.

Abstract

Background: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) admitted to hospital commonly have comorbidities. Few studies have attempted to determine factors prognostic of mortality in hospitalized AF patients with multimorbidity.

Aim: To identify factors associated with mortality in hospitalized AF patients.

Design: Retrospective cohort study.

Methods: Patients with multimorbidity (≥2 chronic diseases), with or without AF, discharged from Lugo hospital (Spain) between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2015. Data were extracted from hospital medical records.

Results: Of 74 220 patients (170 978 hospitalizations), 52 939 had multimorbidity (14 181 had AF; 38 758 no AF) and were included in our study. Patients with AF were older (mean ± standard deviation 78.6 ± 10.0 vs. 71.9 ± 14.2 years) and had a higher mortality rate (27.1 vs. 20.5%) than those without AF. Gender (female), age, stroke and congestive heart failure (CHF), but not AF, were independently associated with mortality. AF significantly increased the mortality risk in women [relative risk (RR) 1.091; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.021-1.165; P = 0.010] and in those aged >80 years (RR 1.153; 95% CI, 1.1-1.2; P < 0.001). CHF independently increased the risk of mortality across all age groups (RR 1.496; 95% CI 1.422-1.574; P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Hospitalized patients with AF have a higher mortality rate than those without AF. The prognostic significance of AF changes with age and gender while CHF is associated with the greatest risk of death.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Atrial Fibrillation / mortality*
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Hospital Mortality / trends*
  • Hospitalization
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multimorbidity / trends*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Spain / epidemiology