Artificial liver support system therapy in acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: Classification and regression tree analysis

Sci Rep. 2019 Nov 11;9(1):16462. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-53029-0.

Abstract

Artificial liver support systems (ALSS) are widely used to treat patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). The aims of the present study were to investigate the subgroups of patients with HBV-ACLF who may benefit from ALSS therapy, and the relevant patient-specific factors. 489 ALSS-treated HBV-ACLF patients were enrolled, and served as derivation and validation cohorts for classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. CART analysis identified three factors prognostic of survival: hepatic encephalopathy (HE), prothrombin time (PT), and total bilirubin (TBil) level; and two distinct risk groups: low (28-day mortality 10.2-39.5%) and high risk (63.8-91.1%). The CART model showed that patients lacking HE and with a PT ≤ 27.8 s and a TBil level ≤455 μmol/L experienced less 28-day mortality after ALSS therapy. For HBV-ACLF patients with HE and a PT > 27.8 s, mortality remained high after such therapy. Patients lacking HE with a PT ≤ 27.8 s and TBil level ≤ 455 μmol/L may benefit markedly from ALSS therapy. For HBV-ACLF patients at high risk, unnecessary ALSS therapy should be avoided. The CART model is a novel user-friendly tool for screening HBV-ACLF patient eligibility for ALSS therapy, and will aid clinicians via ACLF risk stratification and therapeutic guidance.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / etiology
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / pathology
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / therapy*
  • Bilirubin / metabolism
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hepatic Encephalopathy / diagnosis
  • Hepatic Encephalopathy / etiology
  • Hepatic Encephalopathy / mortality
  • Hepatitis B virus / isolation & purification*
  • Hepatitis B, Chronic / complications*
  • Hepatitis B, Chronic / virology
  • Humans
  • Liver Function Tests
  • Liver, Artificial / statistics & numerical data*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Prothrombin Time / statistics & numerical data
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Survival Rate

Substances

  • Bilirubin