Risk stratification models for congenital heart surgery in children: Comparative single-center study

Congenit Heart Dis. 2019 Nov;14(6):1066-1077. doi: 10.1111/chd.12846. Epub 2019 Sep 23.

Abstract

Objective: Three scores have been proposed to stratify the risk of mortality for each cardiac surgical procedure: The RACHS-1, the Aristotle Basic Complexity (ABC), and the STS-EACTS complexity scoring model. The aim was to compare the ability to predict mortality and morbidity of the three scores applied to a specific population.

Design: Retrospective, descriptive study.

Setting: Pediatric and neonatal intensive care units in a referral hospital.

Patients: Children under 18 years admitted to the intensive care unit after surgery.

Interventions: None.

Outcome measures: Demographic, clinical, and surgical data were assessed. Morbidity was considered as prolonged length of stay (LOS > 75 percentile), high respiratory (>72 hours of mechanical ventilation), and high hemodynamic support (inotropic support >20).

Results: One thousand and thirty-seven patients were included, in which 205 were newborns (18%). The category 2 was the most frequent in the three scores: In RACHS-1, ABC, 44.9%, and STS-EACTS, 40.8%. Newborns presented significant higher categories. Children required cardiopulmonary bypass in more occasions (P < .001) but the times of bypass and aortic cross-clamp were significantly higher in newborns (P < .001 and P = .016). Thirty-two patients died (2.8%). A quarter of patients had a prolonged LOS, 17%, a high respiratory support, and 7.1%, a high hemodynamic support. RACHS-1 (AUC 0.760) and STS-EACTS (AUC 0.763) were more powerful for predicting mortality and STS-EACTS for predicting prolonged LOS (AUC 0.733) and the need for high respiratory support (AUC 0.742).

Conclusions: STS-EACTS seems to stratify better risk of mortality, prolonged LOS, and need for respiratory support after surgery.

Keywords: cardiac surgery; congenital heart disease; hospital mortality; intensive care; morbidity; risk adjustment.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Age Factors
  • Cardiac Surgical Procedures / adverse effects*
  • Cardiac Surgical Procedures / mortality
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Female
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / diagnostic imaging
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / mortality
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / physiopathology
  • Heart Defects, Congenital / surgery*
  • Hemodynamics
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Length of Stay
  • Male
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Respiration, Artificial
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome