The present study aimed to systematically evaluate the genetic diversity of Chinese domestic duck breeds and ensure the most effective allocation and usage of conservation funds. We first performed an analysis of DNA genetic distance in 21 duck breeds by measuring short tandem repeats. Then, we calculated the extinction probability, contribution rate, and marginal diversity for each breed. The results showed that the extinction rate of the Zhongshan duck, Guangxi duck, and Ji'an duck were the highest at 0.67, 0.59, and 0.59, respectively, and that of the Linwu duck, Jinding duck, and Gaoyou duck were the lowest at 0.15, 0.18, and 0.19, respectively. The current diversity of populations was 7.72 and the expected diversity in five hundred years is 5.14 ± 1.15. The marginal diversity of the Chinese Muscovy duck was the largest (-2.20), accounting for 42.61% of the expected diversity, followed by the Guangxi duck (-0.49, 9.44%), whereas the Jinding duck was the smallest (-0.12; 2.32%). The protection potency of the Chinese Muscovy duck was the largest (0.61), followed by Guangxi duck (0.29), whereas the Jinding duck was the smallest (0.02). This study provides a reference for determining the conservation priority of Chinese domestic duck breeds or genetic resources.